Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 8.128046 9.452733 10.878500 12.521691 14.357551 16.339876 18.636410
2025-05-18 6.305353 7.989102 9.922010 12.286511 15.081369 18.259791 22.126737
2025-05-25 5.032830 6.874016 9.108388 11.981612 15.537484 19.751687 25.077890
2025-06-01 4.160466 6.081574 8.531132 11.820754 16.054052 21.246447 28.016691
2025-06-08 3.431907 5.353240 7.920101 11.508114 16.291440 22.340460 30.445881
2025-06-15 2.988347 4.940393 7.658020 11.590841 16.993850 24.003697 33.611077
2025-06-22 2.576536 4.511245 7.315184 11.509928 17.438379 25.315216 36.337289
2025-06-29 2.294524 4.235097 7.152055 11.647195 18.160561 26.995464 39.580955
2025-07-06 2.057160 3.995195 7.011492 11.790926 18.878059 28.675274 42.859867
2025-07-13 1.902813 3.869211 7.026289 12.152958 19.909364 30.808465 46.808804
2025-07-20 1.741257 3.709028 6.968106 12.390059 20.755820 32.698564 50.466217
2025-07-27 1.549743 3.470210 6.757973 12.368397 21.203163 34.022359 53.355345
2025-08-03 1.287916 3.067703 6.240274 11.822046 20.826955 34.145400 54.552803
2025-08-10 1.118827 2.817780 5.957247 11.630685 20.977194 35.029386 56.853771
2025-08-17 0.959795 2.563353 5.639421 11.352693 20.966251 35.659291 58.787452
2025-08-24 0.838357 2.368622 5.409797 11.204403 21.146975 36.572575 61.151441
2025-08-31 0.715239 2.149231 5.110125 10.907288 21.060685 37.061917 62.881931
2025-09-07 0.647463 2.046472 5.025942 10.987562 21.599893 38.530934 66.121456
2025-09-14 0.571866 1.911743 4.863657 10.910463 21.863174 39.566754 68.717845
2025-09-21 0.523178 1.836602 4.815970 11.042174 22.486321 41.187443 72.249089
2025-09-28 0.479664 1.767595 4.774082 11.179989 23.121727 42.841025 75.865205
2025-10-05 0.455926 1.748939 4.838927 11.527025 24.137098 45.134876 80.532122
2025-10-12 0.425194 1.705220 4.843893 11.754345 24.944181 47.105452 84.727766